Forest list archive: msg00116

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How Much Wood?



Dear David and Forest-listers,

At 16:43 9/10/97 -1100, David South wrote:
>     Dear Jim:
>
>     I am not sure I understand your question regarding a "threshold."  Are
>     you are wondering if burning 1.89 billion cubic meters of wood/year
>     has an effect on the (local) price of 1.44 billion cubic meters/year
>     of industrial roundwood (wood that is not exported)?  Or are you
>     asking if buring 1.89 billion cubic meters/year has an effect on the
>     global price of 0.12 billion cubic meters that is exported each year?.

Thanks David for the reply.  My question was not whether there would be an
effect on local roundwood price.  I can imagine that within the same local
market this effect would be direct and immediate.  My question dealt with
the latter situation of the effect on international markets.  Being fairly
ignorant in economics and global market processes, I have no idea of the
relative scales of roundwood exports from developing countries where
fuelwood supply is critical compared to say Canada's exports of roundwood.
I don't know how to interpret the numbers you posted above.  Do they mean
that the roundwood supply from developing countries is insignificant in its
influence on the international market, and therefore the international
market is relatively insensitive to changes in its supply and price, and
beyond that to changes in the fuelwood supply.
((In 1995, Canada harvested 188.4 million m3 of both hardwoods and
softwoods. source:  Natural Resources Canada Fact Sheet
http://www.canadian-forests.com/inf-frm.html))

References:

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